2024 Polls 365 Days. In 2020, polls overestimated joe biden’s margin over donald trump by about 4.5 points on average. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and.
If polls underestimate harris by the same amount, she will win all of the states 538 currently. The most recent polls for the 2024 presidential election.